SYSTEM ACCESS: SECURE NODE ACTIVE
[ ESTABLISH UPLINK ]









GLOBAL COMMODITY SECURITY & FLOW
SYSTEM LIVE | DATA SOURCE: FRED / MACROMICRO |
CRITICAL MINERALS: LITHIUM FLOW (SOURCE to END-USER)
HORMUZ CHILE / AUS USA / EU
INVENTORY: CRITICAL
CRITICAL MINERALS: COPPER FLOW (SOURCE to END-USER)
CHILE / PERU CHINA / EU
INVENTORY: LOW (40%)
ENERGY SECURITY: LNG FLOW (SOURCE to END-USER)
USA / QATAR EU / ASIA
FLOW: STABLE
ENERGY SECURITY: CRUDE FLOW (SOURCE to END-USER)
MIDDLE EAST GLOBAL
CHOKE POINT: HIGH RISK
AGGREGATE GLOBAL GPR INDEX Z-SCORE
REGIONAL GPR INDEX Z-SCORE HEAT MAP MATRIX
Q2 2026 NORTH AMERICA EUROZONE RUSSIA/UKR MIDDLE EAST ASIA-PACIFIC LATIN AMERICA
DRIVERS OF CURRENT (Q2 2026) DEVIATIONS
⚡ U.S.-ISRAEL/IRAN: Hormuz Blockade
+0.9 global
❄️ RUSSIA-NATO: Arctic Tensions
+0.6 global
🚢 U.S.-CHINA: Taiwan Strait
+0.4 global
🔋 DECOUPLING: Reserve Shifts
+0.24 global


Fiscal Stress Dashboard - April 2026

STRESS TEST: FISCAL SPACE VS. REFINANCING RISK

Visualization of current geopolitical tension vs. 10-year historical average

APRIL 1, 2026

Aggregate Global Fiscal Stress Index (AFSI)

+2.8 EXTREME HIGH (+5)

Key Clusters & Vulnerabilities

HIGH-DEBT, HIGH-RISK

Argentina, Turkey, Brazil

SUSTAINABLE HIGH-DEBT

Japan, USA (Outliers)

STRESS TEST: FISCAL SPACE VS. REFINANCING RISK

Quantified Metric Details

Fiscal Space

Debt-to-GDP

Refinancing Risk

CDS Spreads

Z-Score Calculation

AFSI = (Current - 10yr Mean) / 10yr Std Dev

Stress Test Drivers (Q2 2026)

  • Central Bank Tightening: Sustained high rates (r-g increases)
  • Global Decoupling: Trade friction and energy price shocks
Obsidian Gryphon | Sovereign Intelligence
OBSIDIAN_GRYPHON // SI_ENGINE
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13.5k
COPP
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2.1k
OIL
82.3



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